Europa League Last 16
Global 1-2
Spartak Moskva vs Swarovski Tirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
5 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
0 - 1
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 0
FCL
95%
3%
2%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
LIN
2 - 2
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1986 |
SWA
4 - 2
LAS
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
STR
2 - 2
SWA
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SDL
3 - 2
SWA
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1986 |
SWA
1 - 0
GRA
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |