Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
Spartak Moskva vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 0
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
1 - 0
SWA
68%
18%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
SPA
5 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
TFC
3 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FCL
0 - 1
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1987 |
ROS
1 - 1
SGD
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
SGD
0 - 0
LOK
59%
23%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
MAG
3 - 1
SGD
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
SGD
3 - 0
BWA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1987 |
ERF
2 - 1
SGD
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |