Europa League Last 16
Global 1-2
Spartak Moskva vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
BRU
1 - 3
SPA
74%
15%
12%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRU
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
TPS
1 - 3
SPA
2%
20%
78%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
SPA
1 - 0
TPS
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 0
SPA
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
NAN
2 - 0
STR
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1985 |
MON
1 - 1
NAN
45%
28%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
AUX
0 - 0
NAN
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
NAN
4 - 0
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |