Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Spartak Moskva vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 2
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
3 - 4
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1971 |
VST
4 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
VIC
0 - 3
ACM
17%
29%
53%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
16%
30%
55%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
TER
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
PAL
0 - 1
ACM
13%
29%
59%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |