Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
Spartak Moskva vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2003 |
DBU
3 - 1
SPA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
4 - 0
DBU
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 2
FKM
77%
16%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
ALA
3 - 0
SPA
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 0
CSK
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
OSA
1 - 1
MLL
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
MLL
0 - 0
ALB
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SEV
3 - 0
MLL
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
MLL
1 - 3
ATH
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ZAR
1 - 3
MLL
42%
27%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |