Qualif. Champions Final
Global 7-2
Spartak Moskva vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
LOK
0 - 0
SPA
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
CSK
0 - 3
SPA
43%
24%
33%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
LPO
1 - 5
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 1
OKN
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
SPA
4 - 0
VLA
80%
15%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
ZAL
2 - 2
LPO
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
LPO
1 - 5
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
LPO
0 - 0
GÓR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
POL
1 - 0
LPO
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1993 |
BEI
2 - 4
LPO
46%
22%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |