UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 5-1
Spartak Moskva vs Kamen Ingrad Velika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPA
25%
24%
52%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
ALA
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FCR
3 - 1
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 2
CSK
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kamen Ingrad Velika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2004 |
KIV
1 - 0
ZAG
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
HNK
2 - 1
KIV
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
KIV
1 - 0
SLA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
INT
3 - 2
KIV
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
KIV
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |