Europa League 1/32
Global 7-0
Spartak Moskva vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
VCF
2 - 0
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
SPA
0 - 0
VCF
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 3
SPA
16%
24%
61%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
SPA
2 - 0
HFC
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 5
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
LIV
5 - 0
HJK
91%
7%
2%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
HJK
1 - 0
LIV
11%
22%
68%
|
65 | 90 | 25 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
HJK
3 - 0
OMO
50%
21%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
OMO
2 - 0
HJK
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AJA
8 - 1
HJK
95%
4%
1%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |