Europa League 1/16
Global 5-1
Spartak Moskva vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 5
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
3 - 2
ARS
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
KAI
4 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAI
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
BRU
1 - 3
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
HFC
1 - 0
TWE
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
NEC
0 - 0
HFC
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
GEN
3 - 3
HFC
64%
20%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 1
PSV
20%
24%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
5 - 1
HFC
64%
20%
15%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |