Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
Spartak Moskva vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
BRE
6 - 2
SPA
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
SPA
4 - 1
BRE
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
SGD
1 - 0
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
SPA
3 - 0
SGD
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1986 |
SWA
2 - 0
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1987 |
GLE
1 - 1
ROP
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
ROP
0 - 0
GLE
66%
18%
15%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LOK
2 - 0
GLE
99%
1%
0%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
GLE
1 - 1
LOK
2%
23%
75%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
GLE
1 - 0
FRA
47%
22%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |