Spartak Moskva vs FK Rostov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
13º
6º
12
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 66 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 62 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 57 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 54 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 44 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 37 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 33 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 33 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 32 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 27 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 21 |
16º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 2
DIN
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
KRS
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
DMK
1 - 1
SPA
13%
24%
64%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCR
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 1
DMK
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FK Rostov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
0 - 0
DMK
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
3 - 1
GAZ
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KRA
2 - 0
FCR
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCR
4 - 1
FAK
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
GAZ
0 - 1
FCR
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |