Champions League Last 16
Global 3-2
Spartak Moskva vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SPA
4 - 0
JEU
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
JEU
0 - 5
SPA
28%
22%
50%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
ACM
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
ACM
4 - 0
SPA
70%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
KOL
0 - 1
SPA
81%
12%
8%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
ESB
3 - 2
HAL
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HAL
0 - 0
ESB
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
ESB
1 - 1
ZBR
41%
23%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ZBR
6 - 0
ESB
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
HER
4 - 0
ESB
85%
10%
6%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |