Spartak Moskva vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
ROT
4 - 3
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 1
CSK
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 2
LOK
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
DZG
3 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1996 |
SPA
0 - 0
BAL
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
DZG
4 - 0
HNS
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1996 |
DZG
3 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
TIR
2 - 6
DZG
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 1996 |
DZG
4 - 0
TIR
94%
5%
2%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ZAG
1 - 3
DZG
33%
28%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |