Spartak Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
FCR
3 - 2
SPA
26%
24%
51%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 1
SAT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCR
73%
16%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LOK
2 - 1
SPA
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 0
SPA
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
3 - 2
CHE
62%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 0
FCR
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
CHE
2 - 2
FCR
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
SAT
2 - 0
CHE
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |