Spartak Moskva vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SPA
2 - 2
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1996 |
LOK
0 - 2
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
BAL
1 - 0
SPA
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1996 |
NAN
2 - 0
SPA
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
WAR
0 - 1
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1996 |
CHE
4 - 1
KAM
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
CHE
0 - 1
KRS
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1996 |
CHE
1 - 0
TKA
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
CHE
0 - 2
DIN
33%
24%
42%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
CHE
2 - 3
LNN
60%
21%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |