Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-5
Spartak Moskva vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
3 - 4
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1971 |
VST
4 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
VST
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
ATM
5 - 1
CEL
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATM
30%
32%
37%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
3 - 4
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
2 - 1
RSO
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 0
ATM
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |