UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Spartak Moskva vs Atlantas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
ALA
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FCR
3 - 1
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 2
CSK
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
KRS
4 - 2
SPA
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 3
ZEN
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
FKE
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
VET
1 - 1
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
ZAL
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 0
SIL
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
SUD
1 - 1
ATL
37%
26%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |