Europa League 1/32
Global 2-0
Spartak Moskva vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1988 |
SPA
1 - 2
STB
68%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1988 |
STB
3 - 0
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
GLE
1 - 1
SPA
5%
18%
77%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
SPA
2 - 0
GLE
85%
10%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ATL
2 - 0
USC
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 0
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
ROM
4 - 1
ATL
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACM
23%
29%
48%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | -1 |