Europa League 1/32
Global 8-4
Spartak Moskva vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
KAI
4 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 1
KAI
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
BRU
1 - 3
SPA
87%
9%
5%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 1
BRU
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1981 |
RMA
2 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
COV
0 - 2
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
BHA
1 - 0
ARS
38%
28%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
ARS
0 - 2
LIV
35%
28%
37%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1982 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOR
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
STO
2 - 1
ARS
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |