Spartak Moskva vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
KUB
3 - 3
SPA
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
FCR
2 - 0
SPA
44%
26%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
LOK
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
URA
2 - 0
SPA
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ZEN
0 - 0
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ARS
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
ZEN
2 - 3
ARS
82%
12%
6%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
URA
1 - 0
ARS
61%
21%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARS
1 - 1
FCR
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
KRA
3 - 0
ARS
84%
11%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |