Europa League Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Spartak Moskva vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
AND
4 - 2
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 0
SPA
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPA
3%
24%
73%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
ASV
1 - 2
SPA
68%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASV
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1984 |
MOL
0 - 2
AND
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
AND
1 - 3
SDL
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1984 |
AND
4 - 2
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1984 |
ANT
0 - 3
AND
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1984 |
AND
5 - 1
KVM
85%
11%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |