Europa League Last 16
Global 1-2
Spartak Moskva vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 0
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
LOK
1 - 1
SPA
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
2 - 1
OBK
99%
1%
0%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
OBK
1 - 5
SPA
2%
23%
75%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
SPA
1 - 0
AND
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
HAN
2 - 1
KOL
32%
22%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
RTV
1 - 3
KOL
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1984 |
KOL
1 - 5
MON
59%
20%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1984 |
HSV
3 - 1
KOL
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
KOL
2 - 1
SDL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |