Spartak Moskva Sub 16 vs Saturn-Master Sub 16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
2º
24
10º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Moskva Sub 16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KON
0 - 0
SMO
16%
18%
66%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SMO
5 - 1
DIN
35%
21%
44%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CSK
5 - 2
SMO
74%
15%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SMO
3 - 1
LOK
22%
19%
59%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
SMO
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Saturn-Master Sub 16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MSK
1 - 2
SAT
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RKZ
0 - 1
SAT
37%
21%
41%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SSZ
0 - 3
SAT
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
KON
4 - 1
SAT
42%
21%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
DIN
1 - 0
SAT
87%
9%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |