Spartak Kostroma vs Karelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+172%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spartak Kostroma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
DIK
0 - 1
SPA
29%
27%
45%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
DVO
1 - 1
SPA
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
SPA
2 - 0
SAT
37%
27%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SPA
1 - 0
ZNA
78%
16%
5%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
DNE
2 - 1
SPA
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Karelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2011 |
KAR
3 - 2
VOR
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
KAR
2 - 1
VOL
26%
26%
48%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +4 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
TKA
3 - 0
KAR
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
IST
2 - 2
KAR
68%
19%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
SEV
4 - 0
KAR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |