Jong Sparta vs RKAV Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
14º
14º
26
10º
18º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
57% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GVV
3 - 0
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 4
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 2
NOO
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
QUI
4 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
SCH
67%
19%
13%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
RKAV Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VOL
1 - 2
SPA
22%
21%
57%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
BAR
32%
24%
45%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
VOL
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 0
AFC
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ADO
3 - 3
VOL
30%
23%
47%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |