Jong Sparta vs Excelsior Maassluis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
14º
14º
20
14º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 62 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 50 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
57% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
49.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
HHC
5 - 1
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 3
VOL
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
GVV
3 - 0
SPA
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 4
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 2
NOO
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Maassluis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
3 - 1
SPA
11%
18%
71%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
EXC
0 - 0
KON
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 2
AFC
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
1 - 1
KAT
20%
24%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |