Sparta Sarpsborg vs Molde FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
HAU
2 - 1
SPA
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 1
TRO
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BRY
1 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
3 - 7
STR
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 2
SPA
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Molde FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
MFK
3 - 0
MOS
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SOG
2 - 3
MFK
28%
24%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MFK
2 - 3
SDF
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
STB
8 - 0
MFK
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MFK
1 - 1
HAM
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |