Sparta Sarpsborg vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
68.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 1
AIF
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
SPA
46%
22%
32%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 1
SEL
20%
21%
59%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
NES
1 - 0
SPA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 2
RID
75%
15%
11%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ULL
0 - 3
FOL
12%
18%
70%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 6
FYL
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ULL
3 - 1
FOL
34%
24%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
STB
3 - 0
FOL
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
JER
2 - 2
FOL
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |