Sparta Rotterdam vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1977 |
RJC
1 - 1
SPA
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 1
AMS
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
FEY
1 - 1
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
SPA
4 - 0
GAE
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
TEL
1 - 1
SPA
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
ADO
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 2
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |