Sparta Rotterdam vs NAC Breda analysis


75	ELO	77
0.4%	Tilt	0.1%
335º	General ELO ranking	1031º
9º	Country ELO ranking	24º
ELO win probability

53.7%

Sparta Rotterdam

20.4%

Draw

25.9%

NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

53.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%

20.4%

Draw

0-0

2.5%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

6.7%

3-3

2.5%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

20.4%

25.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%