Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-1
Sparta Rotterdam vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
SPA
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 6
SPA
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1971 |
LSO
1 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1971 |
SPA
5 - 2
ADO
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1971 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1971 |
LSO
1 - 1
SPA
50%
23%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
LSO
3 - 0
SVA
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1971 |
BOT
0 - 3
LSO
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1971 |
LSO
4 - 0
BER
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |