Sparta Rotterdam vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
BOS
2 - 1
SPA
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
MVV
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
PSV
1 - 2
SPA
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
VOL
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
JON
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
JON
4 - 1
VVV
21%
27%
52%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2014 |
TEL
3 - 1
JON
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
JON
2 - 1
FCO
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FCE
4 - 0
JON
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |