Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
11º
9º
3
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 66 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 59 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 36 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
30.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 14% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAC
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 4
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
RJC
0 - 1
SPA
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
ADO
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
DEN
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ALS
2 - 2
HER
3%
7%
91%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | 0 |