Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
HFC
1 - 1
SPA
37%
25%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
TEL
1 - 4
SPA
54%
24%
23%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
SPA
5 - 2
BVV
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
ADO
3 - 1
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
HER
2 - 1
TEL
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
ADO
3 - 0
HER
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
HER
3 - 1
MVV
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
EIN
0 - 1
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
HER
3 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |