Sparta Rotterdam vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
GAE
2 - 2
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 0
TEL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
SPA
7 - 2
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
AJA
0 - 1
SPA
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1965 |
HER
2 - 2
VVD
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
TEL
0 - 2
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
PSV
28%
21%
51%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
MVV
2 - 2
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
HER
1 - 1
AJA
29%
21%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |