Sparta Rotterdam vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
WES
0 - 4
SPA
16%
20%
65%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 1
SPA
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 1
EIN
55%
22%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
FCD
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
FCO
1 - 2
SPA
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
AFC
0 - 2
GRA
22%
22%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
ZWO
2 - 1
GRA
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
GRO
44%
25%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
AJA
7 - 1
GRA
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
GRA
0 - 1
VIT
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |