Sparta Rotterdam vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
11º
9º
6
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 70 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 61 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 45 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 40 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 34 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Next round
|
37% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
FEY
22%
22%
56%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
0 - 2
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 1
GAE
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |