Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
11º
9º
6
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 72 |
1º
|
41% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 67 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 64 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 63 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 59 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 47 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 31 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 11% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 16% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 16% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1% | 18.5% |
|
Next round
|
33.5% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 3
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAC
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 5
FEY
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PSV
4 - 4
FEY
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 3
MON
38%
24%
39%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 0
FEY
45%
23%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |