Sparta Rotterdam vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
5º
14º
6º
54
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
67 | 67 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
19 | 19 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 18 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
GAE
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPA
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 0
RKC
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UTR
2 - 2
PSV
17%
21%
62%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 0
UTR
32%
25%
44%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 2
UTR
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
UTR
1 - 0
SCH
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 5
UTR
62%
20%
17%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |