Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
SPA
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
23%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
SPA
3 - 5
FEY
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
MVV
3 - 0
SPA
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 1
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
78%
14%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |