Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 2
RJC
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
PSV
7 - 0
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
3 - 0
MVV
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPA
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
SPA
2 - 1
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
BOS
2 - 3
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 0
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BVO
2 - 4
AZA
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 1
AZA
68%
18%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |