Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
MVV
3 - 2
SPA
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
6 - 0
UTR
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
SPA
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ADO
4 - 0
AZA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
AZA
0 - 0
BOS
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
UTR
2 - 0
AZA
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |