Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
SPA
5 - 1
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
TEL
1 - 4
SPA
34%
31%
35%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
GAE
2 - 3
SPA
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
SPA
4 - 3
MVV
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
ADO
2 - 0
SPA
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 4
FEY
14%
25%
61%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1970 |
EXC
0 - 0
AZA
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
SVV
3 - 2
AZA
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1970 |
FEY
2 - 0
AZA
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 0
TEL
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |