Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 5
SPA
49%
22%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1961 |
SPA
5 - 1
FOR
67%
18%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
WIL
2 - 1
SPA
44%
23%
33%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 3
ELI
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
AJA
1 - 1
SPA
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
AZA
0 - 2
ADO
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1961 |
AZA
3 - 0
NAC
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1961 |
ENS
2 - 2
AZA
65%
18%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
AZA
1 - 1
FOR
50%
22%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |