Sparta Rotterdam vs Almere City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
16º
10
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PSV
2 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RKC
1 - 2
SPA
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAE
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Almere City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 1
WIL
25%
25%
51%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
ALM
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ALM
0 - 5
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 1
ALM
46%
24%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |