Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
16º
16º
48
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
1º
|
48.5% | |
|
1º
|
51 | 74 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 63 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 41 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 36 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 48.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 39% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Next round
|
3.5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
60.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 1
GAE
43%
25%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPA
0 - 2
NAC
57%
23%
21%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ZWO
1 - 0
SPA
34%
25%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
AZA
27%
25%
48%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
TEL
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
ALM
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 3
LAZ
20%
23%
58%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
AZA
2 - 1
AJA
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 2
UTR
49%
24%
27%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |