Europa League 1/16
Global 3-1
Sparta Praha vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3.2%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.1%
5.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
1 - 0
SPA
20%
29%
51%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
RMA
1 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEX
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1981 |
NEX
4 - 0
SPA
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1983 |
SLA
2 - 2
WLO
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
1 - 0
SPA
20%
29%
51%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
4 - 2
WIS
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
POG
2 - 0
WLO
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
WLO
0 - 0
GKS
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |