Sparta Praha vs Viktoria Plzeň analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
2º
2º
61
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 4 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 4 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
SPA
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 1
BOH
73%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 2
SLP
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SIG
0 - 1
SPA
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 2
SLP
49%
22%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Viktoria Plzeň
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
VKP
0 - 2
BOH
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SLP
2 - 1
VKP
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
VKP
1 - 3
SIG
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
VKP
2 - 2
SLO
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VKP
1 - 1
TEP
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |