Q. Europa League Tercera Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Sparta Praha vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
3 - 0
PRI
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
ESK
2 - 2
SPA
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 0
JAB
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 2
SLO
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
SPA
0 - 1
LAS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
TRA
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
HOF
3 - 3
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 0
SZO
80%
14%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
RIZ
2 - 3
TRA
36%
25%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |