Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 4-3
Sparta Praha vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
DUK
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 2
SHR
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TEP
1 - 4
SPA
19%
23%
58%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SHR
0 - 2
SPA
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 1
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MTA
0 - 1
STB
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
STB
0 - 2
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STB
1 - 1
MTA
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
STB
19%
25%
56%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
STB
4 - 0
VIR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |